I’ve read some great articles lately about secession. William Buppert, Gary Barnett and Tim Case have posted thoughtful articles at LewRockwell.com and DumpDC.com . They speak of the military and law enforcement obedience of Federal orders to detain, imprison and even fight secessionists.
But there may be a dynamic built into this scenario that will benefit the secessionists and hasten the collapse of the Federal Government in Mordor…or more commonly referred to as Washington, DC.
Please turn your minds back to August 29, 2005. That is the date that Hurricane Katrina struck the Gulf Coast at Mississippi and Louisiana. Try to remember the stories and video that were coming out of New Orleans. We saw the complete breakdown of society in a major Southern city. Within only hours, cameras in helicopters recorded widespread looting and theft. Police, hopelessly outnumbered in many situations, could only stand by and watch.
But why were police outnumbered?
Simple. Many of the officers had families that needed care and protection. The officers took care of their own emergencies before giving attention to others.
In the wake of a secession, The Federal government will likely assert its authority with law enforcement and military personnel. But that assertion of authority will have many more complications than New Orleans had.
1. Local law enforcement are usually pretty prickly folks. They don’t like to be told what to do by those outside their normal chain of command. So there is an automatic resistance ingrained in local law enforcement personnel, from upper management to the street cops.
2. State National Guard units are comprised of the citizen-soldiers of the state that seceded. Their Commander-in-Chief is the Governor, not the President. If the Governor and President issue orders that conflict with one another, I suspect the National Guard personnel will obey the Governor.
3. US military troops will come from all 50 states. But there is a groundswell organization operating right now called “Oath Keepers” that are calling military personnel to be true to their oath to support, protect and defend the Constitution. As time goes on, this organization will have more and more influence with active duty and retired military personnel.
4. Massive Desertions. Just like in New Orleans, law enforcement personnel, National Guard troops and US military personnel will likely massively desert their posts to take care of their own families.
5. Unit cohesion. It will be increasingly difficult for military personnel to maintain military order and unit cohesion in the face of mass desertions.
6. Obeying a direct order to fire on fellow Americans has not been seen since the 1860s. So, this dynamic is a wild card. How many law enforcement and military personnel will obey such an order?
Unfortunately, you may see the Federal Government rely heavily on “security contractors” like Blackwater as shock troops. But many of the same challenges may apply to mercenaries.
In conclusion, I feel that the balance of power tilts in favor of the state that secedes, and against the tyranny imposed by Washington. The first successful secession will open the floodgates of freedom, and liberty will be the true “green shoots” that Washington observes.